Santa Barbara Surfing

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Thursday, July 25, 2002

the swell from the south is now 2.9ft @ 14s from 185. an interesting way to look at the Hurricanes is ocean weather's map. the two hurricanes seem to be heading more westerly which will throw swell towards Hawaii and not as much to us. from what i understand, the swell we are seeing now is from Douglas and towards the weekend we'll be seeing stuff from Elida. Elida seems stronger and with a more northerly track than Douglas.

I've enjoyed following Elida on the NCEP page. here are some outtakes from the forecaster:

Wed 2am: I HAVE...PERHAPS CONSERVATIVELY... RAISED THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY TO 95 KT. I CERTAINLY WOULD LOVE TO HAVE HAD AN AIRPLANE OUT THERE TO VERIFY THESE NUMBERS.

Wed 8am: A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON SCALE IS RARELY FORECAST BUT WITH THE OBSERVED TREND AND HE CURRENT INTENSITY GUIDANCE...

Wed 2pm: SATELLITE PRESENTATION IS OUTSTANDING.

Thur 2am: WAS ELIDA A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE...WHILE I DOUBT WE WILL STILL BE DEBATING THIS IN TEN YEARS...IT IS A GOOD QUESTION FOR TONIGHT.

Each time has a different forecaster and i think the one at 2am is more personable then the rest. Good luck out there finding some swell.
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